IR Seminar-Cesar Zucco - Daniela Campello

Author: CASE
Time: 16:00
Location: CASE 127




TUESDAY , March 20, 2018

CASE 127  16:00-17:15


Name:  Daniela Campello, Associate Professor, FGV/EBAPE

           Cesar Zucco Jr., Associate Professor, FGV/EBAPE

Title: Rewarding Merit or Luck? Electoral Accountability in Comparative Perspective

Abstract: Does voting based on economic performance hold governments accountable? In this paper, we argue that when alternative sources of information about the competence of incumbent governments are not available, it may be rational for citizens to cast an economic vote even when the economy is mostly determined by exogenous factors. In such context, however, economic voting is unlikely to promote democratic accountability. We show, empirically, that in much of the developing world exogenous shocks are far more relevant to explain economic outcomes than in the developed world, but that rates economic voting are similar throughout. Our findings imply that economic voting rewards merit in developed nations, but luck elsewhere, and cast doubt on the effectiveness of the economic vote as an instrument of democratic accountability in the developing world.


Daniela Campello is Associate Professor at FGV/EBAPE, a school of business and public administration in Rio de Janeiro. She teaches courses and conduct research on international and comparative political economy, with a particular focus on the consequences of economic internationalization to domestic politics and democracy in emerging economies. She is the author of "The Politics of Market Discipline in Latin America: Globalization and Democracy," published in 2015 by Cambridge University Press.

Cesar Zucco Jr. is Associate Professor at FGV/EBAPE, a school of business and public administration in Rio de Janeiro. He specializes in Latin American politics, and has written on executive-legislative relations, political parties, electoral politics, social policy, voting behavior, and on the measurement and meaning of ideology. He has recently completed a book entitled "Partisans, Anti-Partisans and Non-Partisans: Voting Behavior in Brazil," which is forthcoming with Cambridge University Press.